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Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 10% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $301,581 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Glinka is a long shot at 10%, with 90% backing Sekulic. The market has in recent trading, which suggests either limited recent trading or a settled view. Volume sits at $302k, modest enough to indicate this is not a heavily watched matchup.
The price reflects a significant gap in perceived strength between the two players. To shift 10% materially higher, you’d need fresh information about Sekulic’s form or fitness, or a notable upset in the lead-up to the July 15 match. Conversely, if Glinka stumbles in warm-up play or Sekulic posts a strong result elsewhere on the ATP calendar, the odds could tighten. The match 22 July 2026 based on advancement, with cancellations or delays beyond a week triggering a no-play resolution.
At this price, the market is pricing Glinka as the clear favorite—but that’s a live read, not a lock. Tennis draws are volatile, and upsets happen. Watch the seeding, recent head-to-head play, and either player’s form in the weeks before Granby.
FAQ
What does a 10% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 10% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 10% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Philip Sekulic in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Philip Sekulic. This market will resolve to 'Philip Sekulic' if Philip
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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