Would you bet…
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Svyatoslav Gulin Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 86% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $31,767 volume
- Resolves
- 7 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 week ago
86% implies Giustino is strongly favored here, though in recent trading has held the price recently. With $32k in total volume, liquidity is modest—enough to trade on, not enough to move on light positioning.
The market settles on 7 July 2026 using Polymarket as the source. The resolution hinges on a single match outcome: either player advances, or the match fails to produce a winner within 7 days of the June 30, 2026 scheduled date. Cancellation, ties, or delays beyond that window trigger a no-contest resolution. The odds embed a clear lean toward Giustino, but at this distance from the event, that read is still provisional. Recent form, seeding, surface preference, and head-to-head record would sharpen the picture; none of those factors are yet baked in firmly enough to move 86% further without fresh information.
Price is a live read, not a forecast. Watch for injury news or ranking shifts in the weeks before Troyes. 86% strongly favored at this level, but liquidity is thin enough that a modest position could test it.
FAQ
What does a 86% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 86% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 86% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gul
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.