Would you bet…
Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 95% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $249,552 volume
- Resolves
- 24 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Gentzsch as all but certain, with 95% backing his advance. $250k in volume suggests modest conviction behind the favorite, though in recent trading indicates has held recently. For a match of this profile—a lower-tier ATP or Challenger event—such a spread typically reflects some combination of ranking disparity, recent form, or head-to-head history favoring one player.
The resolution hinges on match completion by July 24, 2026; cancellation, delay beyond that window, or a tie flips the market to even money. Tennis markets at this level can shift sharply on late injury news or surface conditions, but the current odds suggest little uncertainty in the betting public’s eyes about the outcome itself.
Watch for draw updates, practice reports, or late withdrawals in the 72 hours before play. Barring those, 95% would need fresh information about Houkes’ fitness or form to budge meaningfully. The price reflects what the market knows now—treat it as a snapshot, not a forecast.
FAQ
What does a 95% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 95% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 95% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Max Houkes in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Max Houkes. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.