Would you bet…
Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 92% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $93,232 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Matthew Forbes is strongly favored to advance past Jie Cui in this Lincoln match, priced at 92%. With $93k in volume, the market has held in recent trading, suggesting traders have settled into a clear view of the matchup. The heavy skew toward Forbes reflects a significant gap in seeding, ranking, or recent form—though the resolution criteria’s allowance for a 50-50 split if the match is canceled or delayed beyond a week adds a small tail risk.
At 8%, Cui is priced as an underdog but not impossible. Tennis matches turn on surface, serve placement, and momentum; even heavy favorites lose. The market would shift materially on injury news, late lineup changes, or betting patterns suggesting sharp money flowing the other way.
This resolves 22 July 2026 via Polymarket. The price reflects current conviction, not certainty. Watch for any updates closer to the scheduled date.
FAQ
What does a 92% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 92% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 92% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Forbes and Jie Cui in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Forbes' if Matthew Forbes advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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