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Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

The market saysProbably not17% YES
YES 17%
83% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 17% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$473,856 volume
Resolves
20 Jul 2026
Updated
3 months ago

Feldbausch is priced as a long shot here, with 17% backing his upset over Kecmanovic in Gstaad. $474k in total volume reflects modest interest in what amounts to a straightforward matchup on paper: Kecmanovic, the higher-ranked player, carries 83% of the market.

The lack of in recent trading suggests the market has settled on its read early. Feldbausch would need either a sharp uptick in backing or real news—injury to Kecmanovic, a recent result shift, or fresh information on court conditions—to shift the needle materially. Surface fit, recent form, and head-to-head history would each move this one, but the current price reflects confidence in the seeding.

The market 20 July 2026 on the outcome of the match scheduled for July 13, 2026, and trades on Polymarket. At 17%, Feldbausch’s price is where it sits; that’s your live read, not a forecast.

FAQ

What does a 17% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 17% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 17% likely.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomi

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

Is this the same as sports betting?

Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.

Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?

Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.

Best platforms for sports?

Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.