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Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Cabral/Miedler Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 78% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $12,089 volume
- Resolves
- 12 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 5 days ago
Krawietz/Puetz are strongly favored to advance, priced at 78%. The pair commands a significant edge in this first-round matchup at Wimbledon. With $12k in total volume, the market shows modest liquidity—typical for a doubles contest—though in recent trading has held suggest conviction has has held behind the favorites.
The price gap reflects real form difference. Krawietz and Puetz are a seeded pairing with grass-court pedigree; Cabral and Miedler arrive as qualifiers or unseeded. Doubles on grass favors rhythm and serve-and-volley instinct, both advantages to the higher-ranked team. For the market to shift materially, we’d need injury news on the favorites or a late-breaking shift in seeding or draw position—unlikely at this stage.
At 78%, the implied return for backing the chalk is modest but real. The risk sits with upsets (always possible in doubles) and the small chance the match doesn’t complete on schedule. This reads as a solid favorite, not a sure thing. The price reflects the gap in quality accurately.
FAQ
What does a 78% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 78% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 78% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Krawietz/Puetz and Cabral/Miedler in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Krawietz/Puetz' if the team of Krawietz/Puetz advances against Cabral/Miedler. This market will resolve to
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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