Would you bet…
Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 11% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $48,301 volume
- Resolves
- 19 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Coria as a long shot, with his win probability sitting at 11%. Daniel is favored at 89%, a gap that reflects the bookmakers’ view of relative strength heading into qualification play at the Swedish Open. $48k in trading volume suggests moderate interest in this early-round matchup.
in recent trading has held, indicating either steady conviction or minimal recent uncertainty. Without fresh information on injuries, form, or head-to-head history shifting the available odds elsewhere, the price has likely settled into an equilibrium. To move this market materially, you’d need concrete developments: a significant ranking swing, news of physical condition affecting either player, or betting action from sharper markets reacting to new data.
The qualification draw at a mid-tier ATP event typically rewards consistency and serve-based tennis. Daniel’s seeding in this market implies he’s the expected winner, but qualification draws can be volatile. The current 11% reflects a real but low probability—not a coin flip, but not dismissible either. Markets are live reads; this one reflects the consensus as of now, and it will shift if the inputs do.
FAQ
What does a 11% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 11% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 11% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Coria and Taro Daniel in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Coria' if Federico Coria advances against Taro Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Taro Dani
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.