Would you bet…
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 55% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $780,228 volume
- Resolves
- 24 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Collignon is the favorite here at 55%, suggesting the market expects him to advance. That’s a modest edge rather than a commanding one—typical for a matchup between players ranked in similar territory. $780k in volume indicates moderate liquidity; bets can move the line, but not dramatically.
Without recent in recent trading, the price appears to have settled. The market is pricing in Collignon’s slight advantage, likely reflecting recent form, head-to-head record, or surface fit. To shift it materially, you’d need injury news, a withdrawal, or a meaningful update on either player’s condition closer to the 24 July 2026 date. Court assignments and weather can matter too—grass conditions at the Swiss Open reward different styles.
The 45% side isn’t ignoring Vacherot; it’s just discounting him as the less probable winner here. As ever with tennis, upset probability is real. This price is a live read of current belief, not a final word.
FAQ
What does a 55% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 55% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 55% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valen
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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