Would you bet…
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 93% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $914,950 volume
- Resolves
- 24 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
93% for Cerundolo marks him as strongly favored in this first-round Swiss Open matchup against Ruud, a top-20 player and former US Open finalist. The price reflects a significant gap in ranking and recent form—Ruud is the clear favorite, with the market pricing his win at 7%. $915k in total volume suggests modest liquidity, typical for early-round matches in mid-tier events.
Without recent movement data (in recent trading), we’re reading a static market. What would shift it: news of injury to either player, late lineup changes, or court-surface conditions favoring Cerundolo’s game. Ruud’s consistency on hard courts typically works in his favor, but first-round tennis often produces surprises, and clay can be less predictable.
The current odds imply Ruud should win roughly 7% of the time, which aligns with the talent gap. For Cerundolo backers, 93% prices a genuine upset rather than mere hope—reasonable odds for a lower-ranked player, though still the longer bet. 24 July 2026 on the scheduled date; delays beyond a week trigger market closure conditions.
FAQ
What does a 93% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 93% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 93% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Caspe
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.