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Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

The market saysA coin toss51% YES
YES 51%
49% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 51% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$158,668 volume
Resolves
20 Jul 2026
Updated
3 months ago

The market on Cassone-Schoolkate is a coin flip, with 51% backing Murphy Cassone and 49% on Tristan Schoolkate. At this price, bettors see nearly equal chances for either player to advance in the Granby tournament match scheduled for July 13, 2026. $159k in volume suggests modest but real conviction on both sides.

in recent trading has held, which means the price has settled into equilibrium after any earlier shifts. With no substantial recent movement, the market is awaiting fresh information—either news about either player’s form, injury status, or head-to-head record between these two. Court surface, seeding, and tournament context would all tighten the read if they emerged.

At a coin flip, this market reflects genuine uncertainty. Either player moving into or out of form before July 2026, or any public data on their matchup history, could shift the price meaningfully. Until then, 51% and 49% remain fair bets at their current levels.

FAQ

What does a 51% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 51% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 51% likely.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Tristan Schoolkate in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolk

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

Is this the same as sports betting?

Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.

Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?

Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.

Best platforms for sports?

Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.