Would you bet…
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 70% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,170,697 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 month ago
70% has Bublik the favorite in this first-round Swiss Open matchup, though $1.17M in trading volume suggests limited conviction either way. in recent trading indicates the market has held recently—a modest signal in a fixture between two players ranked outside the top 100.
Bublik carries the higher seeding and has historically posted better results on hard courts, which favors the current pricing. Halys is the deeper clay-court player, but the Swiss Open surface won’t be clay. The gap between 70% and 30% leaves room for the match to tighten if new information surfaces—injury reports, recent form, or head-to-head patterns that challenge the seeding bias.
This resolves on 22 July 2026 via Polymarket, with cancellation or delays beyond 7 days triggering an “invalid” outcome. Until the draw is confirmed and both players are confirmed fit, treat 70% as a snapshot of current expectation, not a lock. The low volume means modest news could swing it meaningfully.
FAQ
What does a 70% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 70% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 70% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Quentin Halys in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' i
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
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