Would you bet…
Bunschoten: Thijs Boogaard vs Gauthier Onclin Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 53% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $64,202 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market is a coin flip, with Boogaard priced at 53% against Onclin’s 47%. Volume sits at $64k, modest for a matchup between two relatively obscure players on the lower-tier circuit. in recent trading has held, suggesting neither player has moved substantially into favor as the July 13 date approaches.
Boogaard, a Dutch player competing in his home country, carries a slight edge—likely a combination of home-court appeal and whatever surface and recent-form data oddsmakers have priced in. But the pricing reflects genuine uncertainty. Without access to head-to-head records, current ranking gaps, or recent match results between these competitors, the market is essentially saying: flip a coin, with maybe a thumb on the scale for the local player.
Movement on this one will come from concrete information: injury reports, lineup confirmations as the tournament approaches, or public match records if either player’s recent form shifts sharply. Until then, 53% and 47% are doing what they should—sitting close to fair value given the void of actionable intel.
FAQ
What does a 53% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 53% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 53% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Thijs Boogaard and Gauthier Onclin in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thijs Boogaard' if Thijs Boogaard advances against Gauthier Onclin. This market will resolve to 'Gauthier Onclin' i
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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