Would you bet…
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 6% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $124,573 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Bicknell as a long shot, with 6% holding steady. Volume sits at $125k, in recent trading has held in recent days. That pricing reflects a sharp gap in expectation—either meaningful doubt about Bicknell’s chances, or light trading on a fixture still six months out.
Tennis matchups this far ahead lack the depth of data that shapes tighter markets. Bicknell would need to show a sudden rise in ranking, a head-to-head edge, or a significant injury to Cassone to shift the dial materially. Cassone’s current favorite status suggests he holds the ranking advantage or recent form edge, but the market’s thinness means a single credible datapoint could move the price in either direction.
This resolves on 22 July 2026 via Polymarket. Watch for movement closer to July as both players’ form and seeding become clearer. At 6%, you’re betting on an upset; at 94%, you’re betting the listed favorite holds. The price is a live read on incomplete information.
FAQ
What does a 6% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 6% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 6% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Blaise Bicknell and Murphy Cassone in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blaise Bicknell' if Blaise Bicknell advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if M
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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