Would you bet…
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 32% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $127,896 volume
- Resolves
- 19 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Carballes Baena as an underdog, with 32% implied probability. $128k in volume suggests modest liquidity for a qualifying-round matchup. in recent trading has held, indicating the market has settled into a relatively stable view of the contest.
At this stage of the draw—qualification for a mid-tier ATP event—both players are battling for one of the final spots into the main draw. The pricing reflects a meaningful gap in expectation, though qualifier matchups often hinge on specific factors: recent form, head-to-head record, court surface preference, and draw positioning. Without recent price movement, the current 32% figure appears to be baking in either a ranking or recent-results advantage for Carballes Baena, or a perceived advantage on grass conditions ahead of the July start.
This market will tighten if either player enters the match on a hot streak, or shift if injury news breaks. For now, 32% is pricing Carballes Baena as the leaner play, but qualifier tennis is volatile—expect repricing once the week arrives and final-round lineups crystallize.
FAQ
What does a 32% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 32% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 32% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Carlos Sanchez J
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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