Would you bet…
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 77% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $465,742 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Arseneault as strongly favored, with 77% holding 77% of the price. $466k in volume suggests moderate interest in a relatively obscure Challenger-level matchup. in recent trading has held, indicating strongly favored.
Arseneault and Martin are both fringe ATP-level players; neither ranks in the top 100 or has significant recent form data widely available. The current pricing reflects that uncertainty more than any strong directional view. What would move this substantially: recent tournament results from either player, injury news, or head-to-head history that hasn’t yet priced in. The market is essentially pricing in a coin flip with a modest lean toward Martin based on limited public information.
This resolves on 20 July 2026 via Polymarket. Thin markets on lower-ranked players often misprice because casual bettors avoid them and sharp money is sparse. That cut both ways here—there’s room for edge if you have reliable data on either player’s current form or H2H record, but liquidity could tighten fast once the match date approaches.
FAQ
What does a 77% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 77% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 77% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.