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Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 40% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $8,599 volume
- Resolves
- 27 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Altmaier as an underdog, with 40% probability against Collignon at the Generali Open. $9k has moved through the book with in recent trading, suggesting modest conviction either way. The modest volume tells you this matchup isn’t drawing sustained attention—typical for a first-round pairing between mid-ranked players.
Altmaier holds the higher seeding in most ATP circuit events and has logged more main-draw experience than Collignon at this level, which aligns with him being favored. What would shift the tape: injury news on either player, withdrawal confirmation, or published head-to-head records surfacing new context. Court surface (hard, clay, grass) and recent form matter enormously in tennis and aren’t yet priced in here.
The market 27 July 2026 based on Polymarket, so watch for official draw confirmation closer to 27 July 2026. At 40%, you’re backing the seeded player with incomplete information. Not a statement on the match itself—just where the incomplete read sits right now.
FAQ
What does a 40% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 40% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 40% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Raphael Collignon in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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