Would you bet…
Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by September 30, 2026? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 95% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $5,025 volume
- Resolves
- 1 Oct 2026
- Updated
- 3 days ago
Traders on Polymarket currently price Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by September 30, 2026? at 95% — all but priced in. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin by the date in the title, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when…
The market is scheduled to settle on 1 Oct 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 95% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 95% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 95% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin by the date in the title, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame re
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What crypto markets can I trade?
Bitcoin and Ether price levels, spot-ETF approvals, exchange IPOs, and corporate-treasury moves are the most active.
Do I need crypto to trade these?
Not always. Some platforms fund in dollars; Polymarket settles in USDC. Check each platform’s funding options first.
Where’s the deepest crypto liquidity?
Polymarket and Kalshi — compare them in our Polymarket and Kalshi reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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