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Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Predictions

The market saysProbably not15% YES
YES 15%
85% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 15% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$9,935 volume
Resolves
1 Jan 2027
Updated
9 minutes ago

Traders on Polymarket currently price Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? at 15% — a long shot the market largely dismisses. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…

The market is scheduled to settle on 1 Jan 2027. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.

FAQ

What does a 15% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 15% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 15% likely.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this mark

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

What crypto markets can I trade?

Bitcoin and Ether price levels, spot-ETF approvals, exchange IPOs, and corporate-treasury moves are the most active.

Do I need crypto to trade these?

Not always. Some platforms fund in dollars; Polymarket settles in USDC. Check each platform’s funding options first.

Where’s the deepest crypto liquidity?

Polymarket and Kalshi — compare them in our Polymarket and Kalshi reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.