Would you bet…
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $39B? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 82% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $3,781 volume
- Resolves
- 17 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 minutes ago
Traders on Polymarket currently price Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $39B? at 82% — strongly favored. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor's revenue in USD for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's…
The market is scheduled to settle on 17 Jul 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 82% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 82% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 82% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor's revenue in USD for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What tech markets can I trade?
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How current are these?
Prices update continuously as news breaks, so the board reflects the latest read rather than a stale forecast.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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