Would you bet…
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 15% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $23,406 volume
- Resolves
- 30 Sep 2026
- Updated
- 4 hours ago
Traders on Polymarket currently price Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? at 15% — a long shot the market largely dismisses. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.
How it resolves
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes…
The market is scheduled to settle on 30 Sep 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 15% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 15% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 15% likely.
How does this market resolve?
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What tech markets can I trade?
AI model releases and benchmarks, big-tech IPOs, antitrust and regulatory outcomes, and product-launch timing.
How current are these?
Prices update continuously as news breaks, so the board reflects the latest read rather than a stale forecast.
Best place to trade tech & AI?
Polymarket and Kalshi carry the most tech and AI markets — see our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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