Would you bet…
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) <38%? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 8% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,819 volume
- Resolves
- 23 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 months ago
Traders on Polymarket currently price Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) <38%? at 8% — a long shot the market largely dismisses. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to Intel's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.…
The market is scheduled to settle on 23 Jul 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 8% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 8% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 8% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to Intel's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What tech markets can I trade?
AI model releases and benchmarks, big-tech IPOs, antitrust and regulatory outcomes, and product-launch timing.
How current are these?
Prices update continuously as news breaks, so the board reflects the latest read rather than a stale forecast.
Best place to trade tech & AI?
Polymarket and Kalshi carry the most tech and AI markets — see our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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