Would you bet…
Will Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 5% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,874 volume
- Resolves
- 14 Sep 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Taylor Dearden sits at 5% for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys—all but ruled out. The market has seen in recent trading, with $2k in total volume. For context, the category typically draws five nominees from a field of dozens of eligible actresses across prestige drama, making any single performer a long statistical bet before the field even solidifies.
Dearden plays a supporting role in The Pit, a show not yet established as an Emmy contender at scale. The supporting actress race rewards shows with institutional Emmy track records and actresses in high-visibility ensemble roles. For this price to move materially higher, The Pit would need to break through as a genuine awards-season conversation piece by spring 2026—generating critical momentum, strong viewership, or both. A nomination itself remains the harder hurdle than a win.
At 5%, the market is pricing in that outcome as improbable but not impossible. That seems honest to the underlying odds. Watch whether the show gains traction in early 2026; if it does, the price will move. Until then, this resolves 14 September 2026 on Polymarket.
FAQ
What does a 5% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 5% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 5% likely.
How does this market resolve?
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, Ca
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
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Box-office totals, the Oscars and other awards, music-chart and streaming milestones, and breakout-moment markets.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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