Would you bet…
Will “Minions & Monsters” Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 52% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $9,076 volume
- Resolves
- 6 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 week ago
52% is pricing this as a coin flip—traders are betting against the film landing in the $68–77 million range for its opening weekend. 48% holds the majority of the market. in recent trading has held, suggesting conviction has has held relatively stable in recent trading.
The spread itself matters. A $9 million band in the middle of the opening-weekend distribution is tight enough to require precision, but not unusually so for a major release. The Numbers will serve as the final arbiter once the 5-day window (July 1–5) closes and estimates harden into actuals. The resolution hinges on whether “Minions & Monsters” lands above $77 million, below $68 million, or in that narrow zone between.
What would move this further: any advance tracking data, comparable box-office comparisons to prior animated sequels, or shifts in opening-week prognostication. Right now $9k in trading volume suggests limited conviction either way. The price 52% is a live read on where informed traders see the odds; it’s not a forecast, just a market clearing point.
FAQ
What does a 52% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 52% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 52% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to how much "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to reso
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What culture markets exist?
Box-office totals, the Oscars and other awards, music-chart and streaming milestones, and breakout-moment markets.
Why are spreads wider here?
Culture markets trade thinner than politics or crypto, so the gap between buy and sell prices can be larger.
Where can I trade them?
Polymarket and Kalshi list the most culture markets — see our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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