Would you bet…
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 76% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,045 volume
- Resolves
- 31 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 22 seconds ago
Traders on Polymarket currently price Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? at 76% — strongly favored. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist…
The market is scheduled to settle on 31 Jul 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 76% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 76% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 76% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations u
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
What culture markets exist?
Box-office totals, the Oscars and other awards, music-chart and streaming milestones, and breakout-moment markets.
Why are spreads wider here?
Culture markets trade thinner than politics or crypto, so the gap between buy and sell prices can be larger.
Where can I trade them?
Polymarket and Kalshi list the most culture markets — see our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.